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Gaza: Indicators of Impending Israeli Defeat in War

Watan-The Palestinian researcher and writer Mohsen Mohammed Saleh affirmed that there are indicators showing that the Israeli occupation war against the Gaza Strip has entered a “wasted time,” indicating that the defeat of the Israeli occupation is closer than ever before.

Saleh pointed out in an article on the Arabi21 website that the occupation is on the verge of declaring a humiliating defeat after increasing indicators and pressure factors pushing it in this direction, with difficulties that many now know will not achieve the goal of eliminating the resistance factions.

After more than six months of the brutal Israeli war, it has become clear that the war has lost its justifications and objectives, and the defeat of the occupation does not mean that it will stop the war soon, but rather it will sooner or later be forced to retreat and change its calculations.

The Palestinian researcher Mohsen Mohammed Saleh confirmed that there are indicators showing that the Israeli occupation war against Gaza has entered a wasted time.

Mohsen Mohammed Saleh
The Palestinian researcher and writer Mohsen Mohammed Saleh

Palestinian Researcher: These are the Indicators of the Occupation’s Defeat in Gaza

Among the notable points mentioned by the Palestinian researcher and writer Mohsen Mohammed Saleh about the indicators of the imminent defeat of the occupation in the Gaza war:

  1. The failure of the Israeli war to achieve its main objectives, namely the elimination of the Islamic Resistance Movement Hamas, as the movement remains the strongest and most influential in Gaza.
  2. The Al-Qassam Brigades remain active not only in the central and southern parts of the Gaza Strip but also in the north after about 150 days of Israeli attacks and incursions into those areas.
  3. According to estimates, there are still more than seven thousand fighters for Hamas engaged in daily battles and operations, inflicting significant losses on the occupation.
  4. The Israeli occupation has failed to control the Gaza Strip so far or to impose its military rule on it.
  5. Despite the significant humanitarian tragedy caused, Hamas’s system remains effective in most of the Gaza Strip, whether in its military structure or in its administrative and organizational structure.
  6. The Israeli operation failed to retrieve the detainees and prisoners held by the resistance, proving that the war cannot achieve this goal.
  7. The occupation failed to undermine the awareness of the resistance and its popular base.
  8. Neither the resistance nor its popular base surrendered, disintegrated, or lost effectiveness.
  9. The Israeli entity cannot endure prolonged wars, especially amid the continuing economic deterioration, reverse migration, loss of security, investment flight, and normalization impasse.
  10. Washington’s pressure on Israeli military and political performance has intensified, especially as President Joe Biden’s popularity has been negatively affected by his support for the war on Gaza.

Gaza War and American and International Pressure:

The Palestinian researcher and writer Mohsen Mohammed Saleh also mentioned indicators of the occupation’s imminent defeat in the Gaza war:

  1. Biden’s chances of winning the elections and his ability to sway swing states are declining, which may push him to expedite ending the war with minimal losses.
  2. The escalating tension in the region due to the prolonged war increases the fear of Arab regimes that are normalized with the occupation or under American influence of internal popular explosions that would topple them and create regimes that opt for military options or at least boycott the occupation.
  3. The Israeli occupation is facing escalating international pressure that increases its isolation after its arrogant and brutal image, disregarding international law and human rights, has been solidified.
  4. The occupation failed to find an alternative rule to Hamas in the Gaza Strip to implement the Israeli agenda and weaken the resistance, especially in the Gaza Strip.
  5. Arab countries such as the UAE and the Palestinian Authority are trying to adapt themselves and offer their services for the post-war period, but they have failed to do so, and their popularity in the Gaza Strip remains very low compared to Hamas.
  6. The occupation has exhausted its objectives in the Gaza Strip after all the massacres and destruction it caused, and there is nothing left to achieve or to break the resistance and its will.
  7. The battle of Rafah, which the Israeli occupation postponed several times and which it realizes its risks, has a very high probability of failure, and it no longer finds Western or American support for it.
  8. The Gaza war has lasted much longer than expected by the Americans and Western allies, becoming a military, financial, political, media, and moral burden, if there is any morality.
  9. The issue of the Gaza war has turned into an internal problem for governments with their peoples, leading to a decline in Western cover for the continuation of the war, and some of these countries are considering the possibility of stopping arms exports to “Israel.”
  10. The settlers are increasingly certain that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is doing everything he can to prolong the war for personal reasons linked to staying in power and avoiding the end of his political life or entering prison rather than for the higher interests of the entity.

Although the above may not immediately stop the war, it may push the occupation to perhaps procrastinate and reduce the pace of military operations to reach acceptable arrangements for it.

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